Andrew Holness (Photo: Garfield Robinson)
March 17, 2025
Will Holness sacrifice Cuba to appease Trump?
Dear Editor,
Jamaica’s diplomatic dilemma is a precarious balancing act between loyalty to long-standing allies and the lure of economic benefits from emerging global powers.
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Historically, Jamaica’s relationship with the US, its largest trading partner, has been strong. However, China’s increasing presence in the region, particularly through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), has complicated matters.
China’s significant investments in infrastructure development have made it a major benefactor for Jamaica and other Caribbean nations.
On the other hand, Jamaica’s relationship with Cuba, a loyal partner in good times and bad and particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, is being complicated by US accusations of human trafficking against the Cuban Government.
Jamaica’s foreign policy priorities emphasise maintaining a viable system of multilateral partnerships, promoting economic development and cooperation with other nations. However, navigating these complex relationships requires careful diplomacy and strategic decision-making to avoid being caught in a zero-sum game between competing global powers.
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The country’s current diplomatic dilemma has historical parallels, notably with Michael Manley’s experience. When Manley supported Cuba’s intervention in the Angolan liberation struggle, he faced pressure from the United States. Seeking refuge in the non-aligned movement couldn’t shield him from the repercussions that followed.
In contrast, Barbadian Prime Minister Mia Mottley’s bold stance on Cuba has highlighted Andrew Holness’s silence, rendering it “spineless and indeed treacherous”. This has heightened calls for Jamaica to seek a strategic alliance with Africa, a rising global power, to avoid being caught between the competing interests of the United States and China.
Interestingly, Jamaica is one of two Caricom countries which has so far refused to sign on to the Partnership Agreement between the Member States of the Caribbean Community and African Export Import Bank — Afreximbank — which aims to strengthen trade and investment links between Africa and Caricom member states.
It has been nearly two years since the pan-African multilateral financial institution set up a Caricom office in Barbados, August 4, 2023, yet Jamaica has not decided joined the partnership.
The Afreximbank Board has allocated $1.5 billion for Caricom member states that have ratified the agreement, with the potential for this amount to increase to $3 billion if the remaining member states sign on.
The financial instruments offered by Afreximbank could provide substantial support for economic development in the region, emphasising the need for comprehensive participation.
Jamaica’s foreign policy priorities emphasise strengthening relationships with international partners to support national development goals.
However, the current situation demands a re-evaluation of Jamaica’s alliances. The Peoples National Party (PNP) has historically maintained a fraternal relationship with the Communist Party of China, supporting the one-China policy when friends were few.
However, the present PNP leadership, in my opinion, appears to feel little obligation to continue this relationship.
As Jamaica navigates this complex geopolitical landscape, it must carefully consider its foreign policy priorities and seek alliances that truly support its national interests.
This move highlights the conflicting priorities Holness must navigate. On one hand, Jamaica’s historical relationship with the US is significant and the country relies heavily on American trade and investment. On the other hand, China’s Belt and Road Initiative, the logistics hub, and infrastructure development projects offer substantial economic benefits to Jamaica.
The question remains whether Holness will prioritise his country’s economic interests with China over its strategic relationship with the US, particularly in the lead-up to the general election.
Will he sacrifice the benefits of China’s investments to curry favour with the US Department of State? The situation is further complicated by Holness’s recent silence on US accusations of human trafficking against Cuba, a country that has been a loyal partner to Jamaica during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Ultimately, Holness must carefully consider Jamaica’s national interests and navigate the complex geopolitical landscape to maintain a delicate balance between its relationships with the US and China.
The country’s geographic location and historical relationships make it a critical player in the region, and its decisions will have far-reaching implications for its future.
Jamaica must preserve its relationships with China and the United States while also exploring new alliances, such as with Africa, to maintain its sovereignty and promote its economic development.
Owen Allen
odamaxef@yahoo.com
Mia Mottley (I-Witness News)
Donald Trump (Photo: AFP)
