US goverment boosts oil price outlook
NEW YORK, USA
Oil prices climbed above US$101 ($8,693) per barrel yesterday after the US government boosted its price forecast for the end of this year and 2012.
Benchmark crude rose 29 cents to end the day at US$101.28 per barrel in New York. Brent crude, which is used to price foreign oils that are imported by US refineries, rose 98 cents to finish at US$110.51 a barrel in London.
Prices increased in afternoon trading after the Energy Information Administration boosted its oil price forecast for the final three months of 2011 and all of 2012.
The government expects the average price of oil will rise to US$98 per barrel next year, up from a previous forecast of US$91 per barrel last month. The increase accounts for recent plans by Canadian pipeline companies to transport oil from overloaded storage tanks in the Midwest to the Gulf of Mexico.
Enbridge and Enterprise Products Partners announced last month that they planned to relieve a glut in Midwestern oil supplies that has held down benchmark crude prices most of the year. The companies plan to pump oil to the Gulf Coast. That will push benchmark oil prices closer to other kinds of crude like Brent.
Oil prices rose yesterday despite a second warning from Standard & Poor’s about European debt.
The credit ratings agency said it may downgrade a bailout fund for cash-strapped eurozone members. The warning follows a similar announcement on Monday that S&P may downgrade 15 European countries, including Germany, because of the region’s ongoing problems with massive government debts.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel downplayed S&P’s warnings. But a downgrade would make it more expensive for European nations to raise money, hampering efforts to pay down those huge debts. Many analysts predict that Europe will slide back into recession, and the concern is how far the banking crisis will spread.
Further weakening in the European economy will impact the global economy, cutting energy consumption by major manufacturers in the US and China.