US Stocks rise
NEW YORK, USA (AFP) — US stocks hit the highest level in more than a year the past week buoyed by strong company earnings and a central bank decision to maintain ultra-low interest rates, but some analysts expect a pause in the rally before any upward movement.
For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 117 points (1.1 per cent) to finish at 10,741.98 on Friday, snapping an eight-session rally that had brought the blue-chip index to an almost 18-month high.
The broad S&P 500 index was up almost 10 points (0.8 per cent) to 1,159.90 and the tech-rich Nasdaq rose 6.0 points (0.2 per cent) to 2,374.41.
Most of the gains were made after the Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark federal funds rate at a record-low zero to 0.25 per cent range despite slight improvements in the economy.
Positive earnings reports from several companies also lifted sentiment before the market turned cautious on Friday over the Greek debt crisis and India’s unexpected decision to raise rates.
“The market is short-term stretched out and… a pause to refresh is overdue,” said Wells Fargo Advisors chief market strategist Al Goldman.
He said a mere 0.1 per cent rise in February of the forward-looking leading economic index of the business research firm The Conference Board “reminded folks that the (US) economic recovery is still rather mild”.
It was the smallest increase in 11 months of the index, held down by the manufacturing and labour market components, underscoring the nearly double-digit unemployment crisis threatening US growth.
Analysts believe the bulls will continue to drive the market but any rise will be gradual.
“A slow-motion bull market would be more long-lasting than a melt-up that fizzles,” said Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research.
Particularly encouraging, he said, was that numerous sectors and industries of the S&P 500 index had jumped to new bull-market highs in recent days.
“In other words, the second year of the bull market is starting off with broad participation. Thats a good thing,” he added.
In the coming week, the US government will publish Friday the third and final estimate of 2009 fourth-quarter gross domestic product data.
GDP — the broad measure of the country’s output — rose in the last two quarters after a year of contraction. It grew by 2.2 per cent in the third quarter and a provisional 5.9 per cent in the final quarter.
Most economists expect the final estimate of GDP growth will remain unchanged at 5.9 per cent.
The market will also weigh a looming congressional vote Sunday on the furiously debated $940-billion health-care reform bill.
“The health bill has been so widely discussed that it’s passage should not hurt the market,” said Wells Fargo’s Goldman.
President Barack Obama said Friday that Democrats were poised to make history after a century struggling for health care reform, as party leaders claimed momentum ahead of the vital vote.